Learning how to pick the
best stocks to buy can be a daunting process even for those who have been investing for many years. From my own experience I have found over the years that the simpler the system for selecting stocks the better and the good news is that virtually all the information you need is now freely available on the internet. All that is required is some effort, hard work and lots of practice.
The process I use to identify good stocks to buy for a longer term investment strategy is largely a technical approach, but also includes elements of fundamental analysis at the macro level. The process is fully explained on my site, but the principles are as follows.
The first step is to consider the economy of the country where you are investing, as some stocks and sectors perform better in recession than in expansion, and vice versa. For example, utility stocks generally perform well in early recession as the professional money is looking for guaranteed income streams.
At the moment the gold price is rising as
frightened investors look for a safe haven.
The first step is to look at the main indices to establish a longer term view from the charts. In the US this would be the Dow 30 and the S&P500. In the UK it would be the FTSE 100, 250 or 350. The next stage is to establish the sectors which make up the indices and find the ones that are performing well, and those that are doing badly and clearly we want to find the best stocks in those sectors that are doing well
and in a long term uptrend.
Now we start to look at the individual stock charts and at this stage the only technical indicators I use are volume and simple moving averages combined with support and resistance levels.
Having identified some possible prospects the stocks are then placed on a watch list and monitored for a daily 2% increase in price. How long they remain on the watch list will depend on the chart but, assuming an individual stock looks like a possible buy, there is still some more work to do. It is
important to look up dividend and earnings dates as well as director dealings as these may give us clues or warning signals as to whether this is in fact the best time to buy.
Finally when placing the buy order we always have a stop loss in place in case the price trend suddenly reverses. Overall we are looking to have a balanced portfolio of stocks in a variety of sectors - we don't want all our eggs in one basket!!
The only software that I use for the above analysis is a simple end of day data charting package - this allows me to run the required filters (either by sector or by price movements) and to do all the analysis of
support and resistance and moving averages that I require.
In essence the process starts with the macro and moves down to the micro in a series of stages, using both technical and fundamental data. Although not easy it is a simple process and for new traders I would suggest practising either by paper trading or using a free online
stock trading game.
Virtual trading allows new traders to try out strategies, understand the various markets, learn how to place orders, and to become comfortable with all the terminology of stock trading.
To be a successful stock investor you need to know the best stocks to buy - success lies in the effort you put in at the start - I hope the above helps a little!